Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
One-OffSociety & Culture4m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 58%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado8/02/25, 11:42 UTC1/02/27, 00:00 UTC
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KalshiRegras
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post So You Want To Make Marginal Progress... is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
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- Yes-6.0pt5%
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- Yes18%
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- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume total
- € 516,1
- Volume 24h
- € 516,1
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 58% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? é resolvido?
- Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.