How many successful SpaceX launches in August 2026 UTC

TecnologiaOne-OffSpace1m

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

8 or fewer 5.4%-8.9%

Líder entre 7 opções

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 19 minutos

21/07/26, 10:5631/08/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

8 or fewer5%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=

for August 2026, UTC time.
If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
(Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.

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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

28,9 mil €

August 31: 96%

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How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

3,9 mil €

Above 150: 69%

KALSHI

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of July

1,2 mil €

$1.5T-$2.0T: 64%

POLYMARKET

Which of Ars Technica's Starship timeline predictions will be accurate?

657,5 €

In-space second stage raptor relight in Q4 2024 or Q1 2025: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will Starship flight 14 happen?

653,1 €

Before 2026-08-01: 1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

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EthereumETH$1,926.12+1.10%

SolanaSOL$78.10+0.20%

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XRPXRP$1.15+2.60%

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Regras

Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=

for August 2026, UTC time.
If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
(Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.

How many successful SpaceX launches in August 2026 UTC

TecnologiaOne-OffSpace1m

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

8 or fewer 5.4%-8.9%

Líder entre 7 opções

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 19 minutos

21/07/26, 10:5631/08/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

8 or fewer5%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=

for August 2026, UTC time.
If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
(Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.

Mercados Relacionados

Which company has best AI model end of August?

33,5 mil €

Anthropic: 93%

POLYMARKET

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

28,9 mil €

August 31: 96%

POLYMARKET

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

3,9 mil €

Above 150: 69%

KALSHI

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of July

1,2 mil €

$1.5T-$2.0T: 64%

POLYMARKET

Which of Ars Technica's Starship timeline predictions will be accurate?

657,5 €

In-space second stage raptor relight in Q4 2024 or Q1 2025: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will Starship flight 14 happen?

653,1 €

Before 2026-08-01: 1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$66,348.70+1.45%

EthereumETH$1,926.12+1.10%

SolanaSOL$78.10+0.20%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0734+1.56%

BNBBNB$573.82+0.35%

XRPXRP$1.15+2.60%

Notícias Relacionadas

OpenAI Models Escaped Locked Test Environment, Hacked Hugging Face to Cheat on BenchmarkDecrypt

Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt

Galaxy launches Bitcoin quantum computing initiative, commits up to $5 million in developer grantsThe Block

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

Bitget taps Siebly to simplify crypto trading API developmentCrypto News

Galaxy Commits Up to $5 Million to Prepare Bitcoin for Quantum ThreatDecrypt

Regras

Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=

for August 2026, UTC time.
If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
(Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.