How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026?
One-OffEleiçãoPolítica dos EUAEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 2026Política3dManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual≥8 56.8%Líder entre 6 opções
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Variação 7d
0.0 pts
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Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado24/01/26, 22:30 UTC2/11/26, 23:00 UTC
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KalshiRegras
A seat "flips" if won by a different party than won it in 2024.
- Independents count based on which party they caucus with.
- The 68 "competitive" seats are those in Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
- This market covers the remaining 367 seats.
- Model as of question creation: mean 16, ≥10 covers 92%, ≥20 covers 22%.