How long will the Anthropic post-IPO lock-up period be?
Corporate ActionsIAOne-OffBusiness & CorporateTecnologia1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual4.5 months to 8.5 months 34.5%Líder entre 5 opções
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6
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
-3.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 40 minutos
27/04/26, 02:03 UTC2/01/28, 03:00 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
After companies IPO, they typically have lock-up periods during which employees can't sell their stock.
- These lock-up periods are typically 3 or 6 months, though longer and shorter lock-up periods aren't unheard of.
- How long will the lock-up period be for Anthropic?
- For the purposes of this question, the lock-up period will be defined as the time period starting on the day of the IPO and ending on the day when Anthropic employees can sell stock (including shares that are in DAFs) that is collectively worth 5% of Anthropic's valuation.
- If Anthropic doesn't IPO by end of 2027, this question will resolve N/A.
Mercados abertos
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- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 48,8 mil
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- Above 580-1.0pt90%
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- € 182,1 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
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POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
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POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How long will the Anthropic post-IPO lock-up period be??
- A Manifold Markets cota 4.5 months to 8.5 months em 35% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How long will the Anthropic post-IPO lock-up period be? é resolvido?
- How long will the Anthropic post-IPO lock-up period be? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como How long will the Anthropic post-IPO lock-up period be? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: After companies IPO, they typically have lock-up periods during which employees can't sell their stock.