Forward Party runs a US presidential candidate in 2028?
Eventos corporativosOne-OffPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleição2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 23 de out. de 2026, 21:22 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 50%
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1
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado5/01/26, 22:33 UTC8/11/28, 07:59 UTC
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Inspired by the more specific market:
- https://manifold.markets/Harlan/will-andrew-yang-run-for-president-hQqURlRzp0
- Resolves YES if the Forward Party runs a presidential candidate in the 2028 US election.
- If the party officially supports a candidate as "theirs", this will count for YES resolution even if that candidate does not qualify for the ballot in any US states.
- If a candidate reaches the ballot for both the Forward Party and another party, that also counts as YES.
- If the Forward Party ceases to exist, that will count as NO — unless, in my judgment, a new entity formed out of the Forward Party is "basically the same thing", in which case I'll use my best judgment (likely a partial resolution).
