Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 51%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado7/08/26, 04:07 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US Unemployment Rate Exceed Dotcom Bubble Levels before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUs market crash in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause a financial crash within a decade? (By Oct 2032)
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadLargest Company end of December 2026?
PolymarketRegras
The S&P 500 dropped 25.3% in one year from its peak of 1518 in August 2000 to 1134 in August 2001.
- Resolves yes if the S&P drops 25.4% or more over a period of a year or less before 2030.
- Only closing prices count.
Mercados abertos
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.3pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 104,6 mil
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.8%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9914.9%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9911.2%
+24 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 5,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 79,6 mil
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 185,8 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+4.0pt16.5%
- 30,000 to 30,499.99+1.0pt7.2%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-2.0pt6.2%
+27 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhat will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↓ $182+8.9pt100%
- ↓ $180+26.9pt100%
- ↓ $178+46.0pt100%
+17 mais resultados
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- STRC hits $100 by…
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 51% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030? é resolvido?
- Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The S&P 500 dropped 25.3% in one year from its peak of 1518 in August 2000 to 1134 in August 2001.