Will there be a False Flag in New York after Mamdani Election
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoGeopolítica2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 83.3%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado17/11/25, 03:33 UTC1/01/27, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if there is a significant false-flag event in New York City before January, 7 2027.
- For this market, a false flag means:
- The event is staged, faked, or deliberately orchestrated;
- It is publicly presented or framed as the work of a different actor;
- It is done with a clear political motive (e.g. to influence elections, public opinion, policy, repression, war, etc.).
- There must be strong evidence and a reasonable mainstream consensus (e.g. credible investigative reporting, official inquiries, court findings, widely accepted leaked documents) that the event was staged and misattributed.
