Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 56.1%
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6
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado12/12/25, 09:16 UTC31/12/32, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the total route-length of dedicated hydrogen pipelines that are operational in Europe exceeds 5,000 km at any point before January 1st 2033.
- Europe (for this market): Pipelines physically located within the territories of EU-27, the United Kingdom, Norway, Switzerland, Iceland, and Liechtenstein.
- Cross-border pipelines count only for the portion inside these territories.
- Dedicated hydrogen pipeline: A pipeline whose normal service is transporting gaseous hydrogen as the primary product (i.e., not a hydrogen–natural gas blend).
- Counts: Newly built hydrogen pipelines and repurposed natural-gas pipelines once they are converted and operating in hydrogen service.
- Does not count: Pipelines primarily carrying natural gas with hydrogen blending, or internal plant piping entirely within a single industrial site (e.g., behind the fence of one refinery/chemical plant).
