Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 52.4%
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado9/07/25, 21:59 UTC1/01/30, 17:51 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketRegras
In July 2025, Indian stock market regulator SEBI banned Jane Street Capital in India for market manipulation of BANKNIFTY & NIFTY50 index options.
- This market will resolve to my subjective probability of Jane Street having done anything against the law that relates to the controversy referenced above.
- I will extend this market until I feel the time is right, which will almost certainly be after any relevant legal cases are over.
- I will not close the market ahead of schedule.
- Disclaimer: This is a very subjective market.
- Further, I am not terribly informed about finance.
Mercados abertos
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-3.0pt73.5%
- Apple+2.4pt19.4%
- Alphabet7.1%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 45,9 mil
KALSHIWhat will AutoZone say during their next earnings call?
- Same Store Sales98%
- Brazil98%
- Mega-Hub / Mega Hub98%
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- Volume total
- € 65 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.2%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99-2.0pt14.4%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99-1.0pt13.5%
+24 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 5,9 mi
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
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POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.6pt53.9%
- SpaceX45.1%
- OpenAI-0.1pt1%
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KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 560+1.0pt97%
- Above 580+5.0pt96%
- Above 600+3.0pt89%
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- Volume total
- MercadoLibre items sold in 2026
- KOSPI all-time high before 2028?
- Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Instacart gross transaction value in Q3
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3
- What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 14 2026?
- What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of September 14 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 52% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India? é resolvido?
- Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: In July 2025, Indian stock market regulator SEBI banned Jane Street Capital in India for market manipulation of BANKNIFTY & NIFTY50 index options.