Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)
US PoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 64.9%
Previsores
52
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado25/07/25, 01:00 UTC3/01/28, 23:59 UTC
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Will a court or congressional hearing be presented with sworn testimony stating that Donald Trump had sex with a minor, or with photo, video, or other recorded evidence to the same effect? This would include testimony on the stand or in a deposition, and could include both direct eyewitness or victim accounts or other unambiguous assertions without caveats by the witness.
- The testimony or evidence need not be publicly available if a consensus of credible reporting is available that it happened.
- For example, a court documenting describing the photo, or a news report summarizing the testimony is likely sufficient.
- There is no requirement that the evidence be compelling, or that there be a lack of evidence to the contrary; it must merely be presented under oath as fact without caveats or equivocation.
- Update 2025-07-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The term minor is defined by the applicable age of consent laws for the location and time of the alleged act.
- The market is about testimony regarding presumptively illegal acts.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 65% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.) é resolvido?
- Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.) deverá ser resolvido em 3 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will a court or congressional hearing be presented with sworn testimony stating that Donald Trump had sex with a minor, or with photo, video, or other recorded evidence to the same effect? This would include testimony on the stand or in a deposition, and could include both direct eyewitness or victim accounts or other unambiguous assertions without caveats by the witness.