Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Dess Holiday 60.6%Líder entre 26 opções
Previsores
65
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+0.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado6/12/22, 02:34 UTC2/01/35, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Regras
This resolves when Deltarune Chapter 7 releases, unless it comes out after Jan 1 2035, in which case it will resolve N/A.
- Update 2026-07-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The "the named outcome" option has been renamed for clarity to better cover all cases where the knight involves the named outcome (not just team-ups).
Mercados abertos
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 342,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91,2 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 90,8 mil
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 264,6 mil
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 84,3 mil
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Deltarune: Who is the knight??
- A Manifold Markets cota Dess Holiday em 61% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Deltarune: Who is the knight? é resolvido?
- Deltarune: Who is the knight? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2035.
- Como Deltarune: Who is the knight? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This resolves when Deltarune Chapter 7 releases, unless it comes out after Jan 1 2035, in which case it will resolve N/A.