Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba in 2026
Política dos EUAGeopolíticaOne-OffAmérica Latina2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 85%
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13
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Metodologia
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Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado13/01/26, 15:51 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if there is public confirmation from U.S. military officials, credible news sources, or official government statements that U.S. military aircraft conducted an overflight of Cuban airspace at any point during 2026.
- The overflight must be explicitly confirmed as occurring over Cuban territory (not international airspace).
- Resolution sources may include official Department of Defense statements, congressional testimony, major news outlets (Reuters, AP, BBC, etc.), or declassified government documents.
- On January 3, 2026, the United States launched a military strike on Venezuela, codenamed Operation Absolute Resolve, which involved bombing infrastructure across northern Venezuela to suppress air defenses.
- Trump indicated that Cuban forces were involved in the operation, and the government of Cuba reported that 32 Cubans were killed in Venezuela, all members of armed forces and intelligence services.
