Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba in 2026
US PoliticsGeopolíticaOne-OffLatin America3m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 85%
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13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado13/01/26, 15:51 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if there is public confirmation from U.S. military officials, credible news sources, or official government statements that U.S. military aircraft conducted an overflight of Cuban airspace at any point during 2026.
- The overflight must be explicitly confirmed as occurring over Cuban territory (not international airspace).
- Resolution sources may include official Department of Defense statements, congressional testimony, major news outlets (Reuters, AP, BBC, etc.), or declassified government documents.
- On January 3, 2026, the United States launched a military strike on Venezuela, codenamed Operation Absolute Resolve, which involved bombing infrastructure across northern Venezuela to suppress air defenses.
- Trump indicated that Cuban forces were involved in the operation, and the government of Cuba reported that 32 Cubans were killed in Venezuela, all members of armed forces and intelligence services.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba in 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 85% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba in 2026 é resolvido?
- Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba in 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba in 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria