Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026?
One-OffBusiness & CorporateTecnologia3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 96.2%
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15
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado8/03/24, 20:14 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
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"Twitter/X still exists" means it is possible for people to make posts on and reference previous posts made on Twitter/X, no matter what it is named or who it is owned by at that point.
- If this is not the case, this market will resolve N/A. "Elon Musk is in control of Twitter/X" means that it is still possible for Musk to make arbitrary changes (eg starting Twitter Blue, changing the site's name, adding view/bookmark counts, etc) to the website with almost no obstacles.
- If Musk retains some power over Twitter/X, but others veto some of his decisions in practice, that counts as a NO resolution.
- Situations that would result in this market resolving YES:
- Musk is the outright CEO of Twitter/X
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026? é resolvido?
- Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: "Twitter/X still exists" means it is possible for people to make posts on and reference previous posts made on Twitter/X, no matter what it is named or who it is owned by at that point.