Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 84.6%
Previsores
79
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado21/02/26, 23:57 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES if H.R. 3633, the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (CLARITY Act) is signed into law during 2026.
- https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633
- If this exact bill fails but a substantially similar bill passes, I will use my best judgment to decide the resolution based on market commentary.
- I will likely bet on this market, so caveat emptor.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 12,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 180,5 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 105,1 mil
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
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- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 85% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026? é resolvido?
- CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if H.R. 3633, the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (CLARITY Act) is signed into law during 2026.
- Onde mais CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket, Futuur.