By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction
EntretenimentoOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 85.8%
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Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado31/03/24, 00:22 UTC2/01/28, 12:59 UTC
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Given https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener and how AI capabilities would need to evolve to be able to create a full movie what training materials and methodologies will be required vs what might be available online.
- A director is the closest analogy in human terms I could come up with to an AI pumping out a whole movie, so if we restrict our pool of human directors to people initially trained on the same information an AI might have then there is a reasonable comparison group to consider capability gain.
- Do you think that a director who wins an Oscar between now and 2028 will publicly acknowledge having gotten started using an online course on directing?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 86% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction é resolvido?
- By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Given https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener and how AI capabilities would need to evolve to be able to create a full movie what training materials and methodologies will be required vs what might be available online.