By 2028, which country other than USA/China will be most important to AI?

ChinaOne-Off1a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados

Dados de 20 de jul. de 2026, 14:20 UTC · política pm-quality-2

Previsão da comunidade atual

UK 33.3%+2.4%

Líder entre 11 opções

Previsores

192

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 dias

Desatualizado

24/11/23, 14:041/01/28, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

UK33%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)

Tendência de volume

$486

19 de jul.2d de dados20 de jul.

Mercados Relacionados

Best Chinese AI Company end of July?

34,9 mil €

Alibaba: 76%

POLYMARKET

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

24,4 mil €

Sim: 4%

POLYMARKET

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

22,7 mil €

1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5: 64%

POLYMARKET

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan

14,4 mil €

Chengdu Rongcheng: 49%

KALSHI

Bilibili Gaming vs. Nova Esports

10 mil €

Nova Esports: 54%

KALSHI

Best Chinese AI Company this week

7,5 mil €

Moonshot: 6%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,363.84+0.54%

EthereumETH$1,882.94+1.34%

SolanaSOL$74.98+1.41%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.01%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0736+6.03%

BNBBNB$571.68+1.25%

Notícias Relacionadas

China completes first digital yuan payment to SingaporeCrypto News

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Polymarket Taiwan 2026 invasion Yes odds drop to 3.75% on $38.6M volumeBlockchain.News

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Regras

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)

By 2028, which country other than USA/China will be most important to AI?

ChinaOne-Off1a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados

Dados de 20 de jul. de 2026, 14:20 UTC · política pm-quality-2

Previsão da comunidade atual

UK 33.3%+2.4%

Líder entre 11 opções

Previsores

192

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 dias

Desatualizado

24/11/23, 14:041/01/28, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

UK33%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)

Tendência de volume

$486

19 de jul.2d de dados20 de jul.

Mercados Relacionados

Best Chinese AI Company end of July?

34,9 mil €

Alibaba: 76%

POLYMARKET

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

24,4 mil €

Sim: 4%

POLYMARKET

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

22,7 mil €

1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5: 64%

POLYMARKET

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan

14,4 mil €

Chengdu Rongcheng: 49%

KALSHI

Bilibili Gaming vs. Nova Esports

10 mil €

Nova Esports: 54%

KALSHI

Best Chinese AI Company this week

7,5 mil €

Moonshot: 6%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,363.84+0.54%

EthereumETH$1,882.94+1.34%

SolanaSOL$74.98+1.41%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.01%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0736+6.03%

BNBBNB$571.68+1.25%

Notícias Relacionadas

China completes first digital yuan payment to SingaporeCrypto News

Trump’s CLARITY push is now about beating ChinaCrypto News

Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News

Polymarket Taiwan 2026 invasion Yes odds drop to 3.75% on $38.6M volumeBlockchain.News

DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News

Chinese Prosecutors Float Treating Crypto Mixer, Privacy Coin Use as Sign of Money LaunderingDecrypt

Regras

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)