Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 58.7%
Previsores
36
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado27/08/23, 05:27 UTC2/01/31, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a bridge across the Strait of Messina between mainland Italy and Sicily have started construction by 2030?
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Polymarket$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketRegras
At least some work must have started and project must be funded and on track
- Connecting each sides mainland, not islands
- (Although stopovers or steps at islands are fine)
- You'll be able to travel above water not flying between the countries
- Update 2025-03-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Clarification:
- The project must have no remaining required unfunded or unplanned steps at the time of resolution.
Mercados abertos
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
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- Volume total
- € 351,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 351,4 mil
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
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POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
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- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,7 mil
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 mais resultados
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
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- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 59% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030 é resolvido?
- Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030 deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: At least some work must have started and project must be funded and on track