April 8, US-IRAN war ceasefire: prop bets

Bitcoin CriptoOne-OffMiddle East Equities Commodities Geopolítica IA21d

Manifold MarketsSem KYC

Previsão da comunidade atual

It lasts for exactly 2 weeks 0%

Líder entre 7 opções

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 12 minutos

8/04/26, 17:0129/07/26, 18:30

Resultado24hProbabilidade

It lasts for exactly 2 weeks

Strait of Hormuz remains open till May

WTI and Brent below $120 till June

100%

S&P 500 remains above $6550 till April 15

100%

S&P 500 exceeds $6900 by April 15

100%

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

War ends permanently73%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

Resolution criteria

Resolves based on official statements or verified reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP)
WTI and Brent crude below $120 until June 1, 2026: MarketWatch
S&P 500: MarketWatch.
Update 2026-04-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The S&P 500 data source has been changed from S&P Dow Jones Indices to MarketWatch, which provides five-minute candle data in addition to the same closing prices.

Criptos relacionadas

BitcoinBTC$62,247.24-1.70%

Mercados Relacionados

Bitcoin above ___ on July 8?

1,2 M €

50,000: 100%

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

925,3 mil €

↑ 62,500: 100%

POLYMARKET

BTC price on Jul 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

818,3 mil €

$62,500 or above: 33%

KALSHI

BTC price on Jul 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

454,1 mil €

$63,500 or above: 26%

KALSHI

Bitcoin above ___ on July 9?

274,9 mil €

52,000: 100%

POLYMARKET

BTC price on Jul 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?

215,6 mil €

$62,000 or above: 67%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

EthereumETH$1,747.00-1.78%

SolanaSOL$77.48-4.62%

XRPXRP$1.08-3.46%

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-3.65%

BNBBNB$565.18-2.59%

ZcashZEC$466.39+1.81%

Notícias Relacionadas

Bitcoin 21M cap debate erupts after StarkWare CEO’s 4% proposalCrypto News

VanEck says Strategy’s $135M BTC sale left $1.25B plan intactCrypto News

Strike Bitcoin loans remove margin calls, add 14% APR trade-offCrypto News

Live markets: Japan's collapsing yen is pushing companies into bitcoin and XRPCoindesk

CFTC sues crypto pool operator over alleged $14M fraudCrypto News

StarkWare CEO suggests 4% annual Bitcoin inflation to replace 21M capCointelegraph

Regras

Resolution criteria

Resolves based on official statements or verified reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP)
WTI and Brent crude below $120 until June 1, 2026: MarketWatch
S&P 500: MarketWatch.
Update 2026-04-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The S&P 500 data source has been changed from S&P Dow Jones Indices to MarketWatch, which provides five-minute candle data in addition to the same closing prices.

April 8, US-IRAN war ceasefire: prop bets

Bitcoin CriptoOne-OffMiddle East Equities Commodities Geopolítica IA21d

Manifold MarketsSem KYC

Previsão da comunidade atual

It lasts for exactly 2 weeks 0%

Líder entre 7 opções

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 12 minutos

8/04/26, 17:0129/07/26, 18:30

Resultado24hProbabilidade

It lasts for exactly 2 weeks

Strait of Hormuz remains open till May

WTI and Brent below $120 till June

100%

S&P 500 remains above $6550 till April 15

100%

S&P 500 exceeds $6900 by April 15

100%

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

War ends permanently73%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

Resolution criteria

Resolves based on official statements or verified reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP)
WTI and Brent crude below $120 until June 1, 2026: MarketWatch
S&P 500: MarketWatch.
Update 2026-04-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The S&P 500 data source has been changed from S&P Dow Jones Indices to MarketWatch, which provides five-minute candle data in addition to the same closing prices.

Criptos relacionadas

BitcoinBTC$62,247.24-1.70%

Mercados Relacionados

Bitcoin above ___ on July 8?

1,2 M €

50,000: 100%

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

925,3 mil €

↑ 62,500: 100%

POLYMARKET

BTC price on Jul 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

818,3 mil €

$62,500 or above: 33%

KALSHI

BTC price on Jul 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

454,1 mil €

$63,500 or above: 26%

KALSHI

Bitcoin above ___ on July 9?

274,9 mil €

52,000: 100%

POLYMARKET

BTC price on Jul 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?

215,6 mil €

$62,000 or above: 67%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

EthereumETH$1,747.00-1.78%

SolanaSOL$77.48-4.62%

XRPXRP$1.08-3.46%

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-3.65%

BNBBNB$565.18-2.59%

ZcashZEC$466.39+1.81%

Notícias Relacionadas

Bitcoin 21M cap debate erupts after StarkWare CEO’s 4% proposalCrypto News

VanEck says Strategy’s $135M BTC sale left $1.25B plan intactCrypto News

Strike Bitcoin loans remove margin calls, add 14% APR trade-offCrypto News

Live markets: Japan's collapsing yen is pushing companies into bitcoin and XRPCoindesk

CFTC sues crypto pool operator over alleged $14M fraudCrypto News

StarkWare CEO suggests 4% annual Bitcoin inflation to replace 21M capCointelegraph

Regras

Resolution criteria

Resolves based on official statements or verified reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP)
WTI and Brent crude below $120 until June 1, 2026: MarketWatch
S&P 500: MarketWatch.
Update 2026-04-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The S&P 500 data source has been changed from S&P Dow Jones Indices to MarketWatch, which provides five-minute candle data in addition to the same closing prices.