Adam Hamiltons winning margin in Johnson County in the 2026 Kansas Senate election?
6.1 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 202612d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualHamilton wins the county by 15 to 19.99% 26.5%+6.1ptLíder entre 8 opções
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+6.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado21/10/26, 22:52 UTC4/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Kansas, is running against Republican incumbent Roger Marshall.
- This market resolves based on Hamilton's margin of victory in Johnson County in the November 3, 2026 election.
- The margin is calculated as Adam Hamiltons vote percent in Johnson County, minus the second place candidates (likely Roger Marshall) vote share.
- If the named outcome, resolves Hamilton loses the county.
- For his margin, Associated Press results for Johnson county will be used, however if the AP result is very close to 2 buckets, resolution can wait for certified final results.
- Any results will be rounded to 2 decimal places to resolve this market.
