Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.
One-OffSociety & Culture3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95.2%
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21
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado22/09/22, 18:44 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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The aim of this question is to predict whether things like the clearer thinking regranting tournament will become normal. ie using forecasting to aid grantmaking.
- Please help me improve the resolution criteria:
- For the year 2025, more than half of funding rounds giving away more than 100k in total will have forecasting questions or prediction markets on whether grants will be given or if grant goals will be met.
