Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualEl Sayed wins by any margin 82.6%+4.5ptLíder entre 15 opções
Previsores
76
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+5.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
30/10/26, 23:44 UTC4/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official certified general election results published by the Michigan Department of State / Michigan Board of State Canvassers.
- Can resolve early if reporting from Associated Press has a clear resolution.
- Margin of victory is calculated as the difference between the percentage of the total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed and the percentage received by Mike Rogers (i.e., El-Sayed % - Rogers %), rounded to the nearest tenth of a percentage point.
- multiple threshold options can resolve YES:
- El Sayed wins: Resolves YES if Abdul El-Sayed receives more votes than Mike Rogers.
