Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualWill any single AI lab hold the #1 position on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index for at least 70 consecutive days during 2027? 62.3%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
1
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado13/10/26, 02:43 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolution criteria
- Each sub-question in this market will resolve independently based on the following criteria:
- Will Anthropic's Q4 2027 GAAP revenue exceed OpenAI's by >20%? Resolves YES if official corporate updates, audited statements, or reputable financial reporting confirm that Anthropic's GAAP revenue for Q4 2027 exceeds OpenAI's GAAP revenue for Q4 2027 by more than 20.0% (i.e., Anthropic GAAP Revenue > 1.20 × OpenAI GAAP Revenue).
- Resolves NO otherwise, or if verified GAAP revenue figures for both entities cannot be confirmed by June 30, 2028.
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI report positive GAAP operating income in any quarter of 2027? Resolves YES if either Anthropic or OpenAI reports positive GAAP operating income in any fiscal quarter of 2027 (Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4), according to official disclosures or reliable financial reporting.
- Resolves NO otherwise, or if quarter-by-quarter GAAP profitability data remains unconfirmed by June 30, 2028.
