Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 84.2%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado29/12/25, 02:16 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Great Pyramid of Giza still be standing in 4,500 years?
Manifold MarketsBass Persuades: First Week Album Equivalent Units
KalshiGrand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features
KalshiMTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
KalshiWill Patient Zero by Taylor Swift debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100?
KalshiTaylor Swift pregnant by which date?
PolymarketRegras
Will resolve to YES if Elton John is alive through 2026.
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/ZHwVBirqD2s)
Mercados abertos
MusicKALSHIWhen will Taylor Swift release a new album?
- Before Jul 1, 202799%
- Before Dec 1, 202799%
- Before Nov 1, 202799%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 32,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 32,7 mil
KALSHIYouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA
- Dai Dai84.1%
- Choosin' Texas3.5%
- SaWaDiKa2.6%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 49,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 29,9 mil
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Country
- Ella Langley+2.0pt80.6%
- Kacey Musgraves+6.0pt8.7%
- Shaboozey-3.0pt5.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 67,7 mil
KALSHIBass Persuades: First Week Album Equivalent Units
- Above 45K+70.0pt99%
- Above 40K+16.0pt99%
- Above 35K+24.0pt99%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHIWho will release a new album in 2026?
+93 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 398,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 18,4 mil
KALSHIGrand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features
- PinkPantheress99%
- Rauw Alejandro+1.0pt98%
- Kodak Black-1.0pt88%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 99 mil
- VMA Best Latin 2026
- Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- VMA Best Dance 2026
- How long will The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore be?
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 24, 2026
- Which artists will release new albums in 2026?
- 2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival: Headliners
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 23, 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 2026: Will Elton John still be standing??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 84.2% em 23 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 2026: Will Elton John still be standing? é resolvido?
- 2026: Will Elton John still be standing? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como 2026: Will Elton John still be standing? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will resolve to YES if Elton John is alive through 2026.