KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Ariana Grande 99%Líder entre 92 opções
Qualidade do mercado
71 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
564,1 €
Liquidez
164,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
1/01/26, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiWill Kanye release a new album in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the named outcome releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Spotify
- A “new album”, must be an original composition first released during 2026, including new singles, unreleased tracks, or collaborations featuring new material.
- It may take the form of an LP or EP.
- Re-recordings (unless in a new language), remasters, radio edits, clean or explicit releases of the same underlying track(s), remixes, live versions, acoustic versions, instrumentals, demos, alternative takes, “artist version”-style releases, or any other full reproduction of a song already available on Spotify before 2026 does NOT meet the Payout Criterion.
- Additionally, uploading albums that have not previously been available on Spotify but have been widely publicly available before time period does NOT meet the Payout Criterion for a “new album”
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
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- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
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- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 2599%
- Above 2785%
- Above 3074%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 101,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 65,9 mil
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- 950 - 960m-5.0pt74%
- 940 - 950m+4.0pt24%
- 960 - 970m-1.2pt1%
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KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+14.0pt98%
- Above 50+31.0pt95%
- Above 55+39.0pt91%
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- Volume total
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KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel-3.0pt25.9%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-4.0pt14.8%
- Dee Valladares+9.0pt13.9%
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- Volume total
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-8.5pt73.3%
- Yes+8.5pt26.7%
- Volume total
- € 345,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 47,9 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will release a new album in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Ariana Grande em 99% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will release a new album in 2026? é resolvido?
- Who will release a new album in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Who will release a new album in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Who will release a new album in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.