LimitlessVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo
Dados de 28 de out. de 2026, 06:36 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Oct 1, 2026 50%Líder entre 3 opções
Before Oct 1, 2026 50%Qualidade do mercado
22 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
26/08/26, 17:13 UTC4/11/26, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Outcome verified from Ruben Gallego, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Fox News, Reuters, official government records and registries, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, CNN, the New York Times, and Politico.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Ruben Gallego out as Senator? · Before Nov 3, 2026 2%
