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Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 13:41 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Ponto médio do livro selecionado
Above 17 · —
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Preço registado
Above 17 91.5%Líder entre 7 opções
Above 17 91.5%Qualidade do mercado
28 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
10,2 €
Contratos em aberto
4,5 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
Above 17Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado28/08/26, 22:00 UTC11/11/26, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Above 17
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiMexico 2027 Chamber of Deputies Legislative Election Winner
Manifold MarketsIsraeli Legislative Election: Turnout
PolymarketRegras
If Yashar has won above 23 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Central Elections Committee
- Note: If Yashar runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on. Yashar refers to the party led by Gadi Eisenkot at issuance. A name change alone does not change its identity. If neither Yashar nor a qualifying joint list or merged successor contests the election, its seat count is zero. A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Regras de cada resultado
- Above 17
- If Yashar has won above 17 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 20
- If Yashar has won above 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 23
- If Yashar has won above 23 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 26
- If Yashar has won above 26 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 32
- If Yashar has won above 32 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 29
- If Yashar has won above 29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 35
- If Yashar has won above 35 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.