KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem atividade de negociação
Dados de 18 de set. de 2026, 05:15 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
At least 28% 0%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
39 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
11/09/26, 14:00 UTC3/11/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
TX-23 House election: Brandon Herrera vote percent
KalshiAlaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiNJ-01 House election: Damon Galdo vote percent
KalshiCA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent
KalshiOK-05 House election: Jena Nelson vote percent
KalshiNY-21 House election: Anthony Constantino vote percent
KalshiRegras
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mitch Clemmons in the 2026 CA-41 House election is 28% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mitch Clemmons ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mitch Clemmons in the 2026 CA-41 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt77%
- New People (NL)-1.9pt20%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.3pt2%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 27,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 922,4 mil
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 191,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 684,3 mil
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+4.0pt56.4%
- Ken Paxton-3.0pt43.6%
- Volume total
- € 11,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 625,2 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party88%
- Republican Party-1.0pt12%
- Volume total
- € 28 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 616,3 mil
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt16%
+48 mais resultados
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Governor winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de CA-41 House election: Mitch Clemmons vote percent?
- A Kalshi cota At least 28% em 0% em 18 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando CA-41 House election: Mitch Clemmons vote percent é resolvido?
- CA-41 House election: Mitch Clemmons vote percent deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como CA-41 House election: Mitch Clemmons vote percent é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mitch Clemmons in the 2026 CA-41 House election is 28% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.