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Dados de 29 de out. de 2026, 23:45 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Ponto médio do livro selecionado
At least 70% · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
At least 70% 96%Líder entre 9 opções
At least 70% 96%Qualidade do mercado
27 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
212,9 €
Contratos em aberto
4,2 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
At least 70%Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado19/09/26, 00:00 UTC3/11/27, 14:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · At least 70%
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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KalshiRegras
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 74% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
Regras de cada resultado
- At least 70%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 68%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 68% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 72%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 73%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 73% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 74%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 74% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 76%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 76% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 78%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 78% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 80%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 80% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 82%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Washtenaw County, Michigan is 82% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
