KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: 4.94% or above (41%)
Resolvido: 17 de set. de 2026, 22:02
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 17 de set. de 2026, 19:20 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
4.92% or above 99%Líder entre 15 opções
Qualidade do mercado
26 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
4,4 mil €
Liquidez
2,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
44.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado16/09/26, 19:30 UTC17/09/26, 19:30 UTC
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
4.94% or above41%
4.96% or above61%
4.98% or above17%
5% or above59%
5.1% or above6%
5.08% or above7%
5.02% or above65%
4.92% or above99%
5.06% or above16%
4.9% or above99%
5.12% or above0%
5.04% or above37%
4.86% or above99%
4.88% or above99%
5.14% or above0%
99%
99%
99%
92%
41%
37%
16%
15%
14%
13%
9%
8%
1%
1%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
LimitlessAtivos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 17, 2026, or one week following Sep 17, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 436,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 33,9 mil
KALSHISOFR for September 17, 2026
- 3.66% or Above94.3%
- Exactly 3.63%0.9%
- Exactly 3.62%0.9%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 22,4 mil
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.5pt9%
- Below 4.73%+4.2pt7%
- Below 4.51%+0.3pt3%
+6 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?
- United Kingdom+8.0pt82%
- UAE82%
- France63%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 11,2 mil
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.32% or above99%
- 5.33% or above99%
+17 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,4 mil
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 5.24%-3.0pt33%
- Below 5.21%+2.0pt17%
- Below 5.18%+4.5pt11%
+6 mais resultados
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026??
- A Kalshi cota 4.92% or above em 99% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026? é resolvido?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Como 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.