KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above -0.5% 98%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
55 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
6,7 mil €
Liquidez
10,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
14/09/26, 19:00 UTC18/09/26, 13:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for August 2026 is above
Liquida via:The Conference Board
- -0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Leading Economic Index refers to The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (“LEI”) for the United States.
- This market will resolve using the month-over-month percent change for August 2026 stated in the first Conference Board release that reports the August 2026 LEI.
- The market will use the percent change expressly reported by The Conference Board and will not independently calculate the change from index levels.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Above -0.5% é de 98%. As cotações diferem cerca de 1 ponto percentual entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Above -0.5% 98% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersao entre venues
Mercados abertos
Macro & EconomyKALSHI(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- At least $50,97599%
- At least $51,05098%
- At least $51,12598%
+54 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 48,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 48,3 mil
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-5.0pt45%
- 8,200 or above-4.4pt20%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
KALSHI30-year mortgage rate this week
- Above 6.80%+3.0pt99%
- Above 6.78%+1.0pt99%
- Above 6.77%+2.0pt99%
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- Volume total
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- Above $4.60+2.0pt73%
- Above $4.80+8.0pt64%
- Above $5.00+1.0pt41%
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- Volume total
KALSHIS&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Volume total
- € 7,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,9 mil
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- Maintains rate+1.0pt60.2%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt34.3%
- Hike >25bps+3.0pt3.7%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US Leading Economic Index change in August?
- A Kalshi cota Above -0.5% em 98% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US Leading Economic Index change in August é resolvido?
- US Leading Economic Index change in August deverá ser resolvido em 18 de setembro de 2026.
- Como US Leading Economic Index change in August é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for August 2026 is above
- Onde mais US Leading Economic Index change in August está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Limitless.