KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Above -1.5% (96%)
Resolvido: 21 de ago. de 2026, 12:47
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 21 de ago. de 2026, 05:50 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Above -1.5% 96%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
19 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
532 €
Liquidez
1,8 mil €
Baixa liquidezDados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado24/07/26, 20:4521/08/26, 5:59
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Above 1.5%15%
Above 1.0%18%
Above -1.0%86%
Above 0.5%30%
Above 0.0%41%
96%
82%
41%
30%
18%
15%
7%
0%
Regras
If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above -1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above -1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Macro & EconomyKALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No90%
- Yes+1.0pt10%
- Volume total
- € 2,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 18,6 mil
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-6.0pt70.3%
- No Change+7.5pt29.7%
- 50+ bps cut-0.5pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHIFear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026?
- Neutral+48.0pt95.2%
- Greed-13.0pt1.9%
- Extreme Greed-1.0pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 25,3 mil
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60-1.0pt49%
- Above $4.80+16.0pt49%
- Above $5.00-1.0pt29%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above+5.6pt65%
- 8,200 or above+2.8pt37%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 917,5 mil
KALSHIWhich companies will conduct layoffs this year?
- Oracle+8.0pt99%
- TikTok98%
- Amazon-6.0pt92%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 43,7 mil
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- TSA avg check-ins from Aug 17 to 23, 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- How low will the S&P get this year?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de UK retail sales in July?
- A Kalshi cota Above -1.5% em 96% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando UK retail sales in July é resolvido?
- UK retail sales in July deverá ser resolvido em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Como UK retail sales in July é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above -1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.