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Republican · —
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Preço registado
Republican 99.5%Líder entre 15 opções
Republican 99.5%Qualidade do mercado
47 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
20,7 mil €
Contratos em aberto
20,3 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
RepublicanSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
20/10/26, 16:00 UTC3/11/26, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Republican
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KalshiRegras
If James Talarico says Abortion as part of MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). James Talarico speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Regras de cada resultado
- Republican
- If James Talarico says Republican as part of MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Healthcare
- If James Talarico says Healthcare as part of MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Corrupt / Corruption
- If James Talarico says Corrupt / Corruption as part of MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump
- If James Talarico says Trump as part of MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data Center
- If James Talarico says Data Center as part of MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Paxton
- If James Talarico says Paxton as part of MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Billionaire
- If James Talarico says Billionaire as part of MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Abortion
- If James Talarico says Abortion as part of MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- ICE
- If James Talarico says ICE as part of MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jesus / God
- If James Talarico says Jesus / God as part of MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement
- If James Talarico says Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement as part of MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If James Talarico says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- If James Talarico says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Israel / Israeli
- If James Talarico says Israel / Israeli as part of MS NOW: The Moment with Katy Tur originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.