KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Tarcísio de Freitas 98%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
11,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 minutos
25/04/26, 14:00 UTC4/10/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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If the named outcome wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — São Paulo Governor Election Winner · Tarcísio de Freitas 99%
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de São Paulo Governor winner??
- A Kalshi cota Tarcísio de Freitas em 98% em 22 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando São Paulo Governor winner? é resolvido?
- São Paulo Governor winner? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de outubro de 2027.
- Como São Paulo Governor winner? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais São Paulo Governor winner? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.