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  3. When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição
KalshiKalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa

Este mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.

Resolvido: 5 de jun. de 2026, 14:49

Probabilidade implícita atual
Before May 16, 2026
Before May 16, 2026 1%
Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

5,5 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

- / 100.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 8 dias

Desatualizado
4/05/26, 18:0016/05/26, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Before May 16, 2026
Before May 16, 2026
1%
Before May 20, 2026
Before May 20, 2026
1%
Before May 21, 2026
Before May 21, 2026
1%
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 22, 2026
1%
Before May 23, 2026
Before May 23, 2026
1%
Before Jun 3, 2026
Before Jun 3, 2026
1%

Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.

Regras

If a reconciliation bill has passed the Senate after Issuance and before May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

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Regras

If a reconciliation bill has passed the Senate after Issuance and before May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.