MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?

65.0% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics Eleição1a

KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximada

Probabilidade implícita atual

Wesley Bell, 6-9% 71%+65.0%

Líder entre 12 opções

Qualidade do mercado

36 / 100

Baixa qualidade

Volume 24h

1 mil €

Liquidez

1 mil €

Baixa liquidez

Compra / Venda

4.0% / 10.0%

Spread

150.0%

Spread amplo

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 22 minutos

24/07/26, 14:434/08/27, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Cori Bush, 0-3%

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Wesley Bell, 6-9%71%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

If the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

The margin of victory is the vote share received by Cori Bush minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cori Bush if Cori Bush wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cori Bush loses.
If Cori Bush wins, the margin will be positive; if Cori Bush loses, the margin will be negative; if Cori Bush ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
If Cori Bush runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

Tendência de volume

$1.1k

24 de jul.3d de dados26 de jul.

Mercados Relacionados

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

5 mil €

Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%: 13%

KALSHI

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

3,6 mil €

Darline Graham, 0-5%: 4%

KALSHI

Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?

1,2 mil €

Francesca Hong, ≥15%: 49%

KALSHI

South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)

637,3 €

Larry Rhoden, ≥25%: 89%

KALSHI

AZ-05 Republican primary margin of victory?

103,5 €

Mark Lamb, 15-20%: 99%

KALSHI

FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?

13,7 €

Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%: 1%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,506.49+0.68%

EthereumETH$1,886.76+1.50%

SolanaSOL$75.08+1.53%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.53%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.94%

BNBBNB$570.82+0.90%

Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

If the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

The margin of victory is the vote share received by Cori Bush minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cori Bush if Cori Bush wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cori Bush loses.
If Cori Bush wins, the margin will be positive; if Cori Bush loses, the margin will be negative; if Cori Bush ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
If Cori Bush runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?

65.0% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics Eleição1a

KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximada

Probabilidade implícita atual

Wesley Bell, 6-9% 71%+65.0%

Líder entre 12 opções

Qualidade do mercado

36 / 100

Baixa qualidade

Volume 24h

1 mil €

Liquidez

1 mil €

Baixa liquidez

Compra / Venda

4.0% / 10.0%

Spread

150.0%

Spread amplo

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 22 minutos

24/07/26, 14:434/08/27, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Cori Bush, 0-3%

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Wesley Bell, 6-9%71%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

If the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

The margin of victory is the vote share received by Cori Bush minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cori Bush if Cori Bush wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cori Bush loses.
If Cori Bush wins, the margin will be positive; if Cori Bush loses, the margin will be negative; if Cori Bush ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
If Cori Bush runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

Tendência de volume

$1.1k

24 de jul.3d de dados26 de jul.

Mercados Relacionados

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

5 mil €

Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%: 13%

KALSHI

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

3,6 mil €

Darline Graham, 0-5%: 4%

KALSHI

Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?

1,2 mil €

Francesca Hong, ≥15%: 49%

KALSHI

South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)

637,3 €

Larry Rhoden, ≥25%: 89%

KALSHI

AZ-05 Republican primary margin of victory?

103,5 €

Mark Lamb, 15-20%: 99%

KALSHI

FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?

13,7 €

Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%: 1%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,506.49+0.68%

EthereumETH$1,886.76+1.50%

SolanaSOL$75.08+1.53%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.53%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.94%

BNBBNB$570.82+0.90%

Notícias Relacionadas

Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News

Regras

If the margin of victory for Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

The margin of victory is the vote share received by Cori Bush minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cori Bush if Cori Bush wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cori Bush loses.
If Cori Bush wins, the margin will be positive; if Cori Bush loses, the margin will be negative; if Cori Bush ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
If Cori Bush runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.