KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 80%
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
2 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
69.0% / 75.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
25/08/26, 22:00 UTC1/10/27, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will the EU enact a social media ban for children?
KalshiUK social media ban in effect by which date?
PolymarketAustralia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiRegras
If an under-16 social media ban has become law in New Zealand before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
- Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
- The following do NOT constitute enactment:
- Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
- Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 12,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 182,3 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 mais resultados
- Conference to Win the National Championship
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- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
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- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban??
- A Kalshi cota Yes em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban? é resolvido?
- Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2027.
- Como Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If an under-16 social media ban has become law in New Zealand before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.