Probabilidade implícita atual
Ed Miliband 72%+3.0%Líder entre 15 opções
Qualidade do mercado
80 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
1 mil €
Liquidez
25,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
58.0% / 61.0%
Spread
5.2%
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
22/06/26, 17:578/01/27, 15:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Ed Miliband72%
Comparar plataformas· Ed Miliband
Ordenado por volume de 24h| Plataforma | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMais ativa | 52% | 0pt | 4,9 mil € | 253,3 mil € | há 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 KalshiEsta página | 72% | +20pt | 1 mil € | 25,8 mil € | há 9 minutos |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?
1.0%5m
+1.0%52%
50%
50%
+32 mais resultados
100 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total609,3 mil €
Volume 24h4,9 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chancellor of the Exchequer" means that an individual, company, or group has assumed Chancellor of the Exchequer in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or acting/interim assignment—and has performed or is recognized to perform the duties or responsibilities of that role for any length of time after Issuance.
- If Ed Miliband formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Yvette Cooper formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Shabana Mahmood formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Pat McFadden formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$1.2k2 de jul.7d de dados8 de jul.
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If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chancellor of the Exchequer" means that an individual, company, or group has assumed Chancellor of the Exchequer in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or acting/interim assignment—and has performed or is recognized to perform the duties or responsibilities of that role for any length of time after Issuance.
- If Ed Miliband formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Yvette Cooper formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Shabana Mahmood formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Pat McFadden formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.