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  3. Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory
Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

0.8% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição1a
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Ken Paxton, 27+ pts
Ken Paxton, 27+ pts 100%+0.8%
Líder entre 12 opções
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

35,5 €

Liquidez

577,9 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

93.2% / 99.8%

Spread

7.1%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 minutos

20/05/26, 14:003/11/27, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Ken Paxton, 27+ pts
Ken Paxton, 27+ pts
100%

Resultado escolhido

Ken Paxton, 3+ pts99%

Regras

If Ken Paxton wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • Senate primary election in Texas by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ken Paxton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ken Paxton if Ken Paxton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ken Paxton loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

Mercados Relacionados

Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

5,7 €
Republicans, 1+ pts: 35%KalshiKALSHI
Florida Governor margin of victory

Florida Governor margin of victory

3 €
Republicans, 3+ pts: 66%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

2,5 €
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 48%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

2,1 €
Democrats, 3+ pts: 50%KalshiKALSHI
California Governor Primary margin of victory

California Governor Primary margin of victory

1,6 €
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts: 90%KalshiKALSHI
Texas's 15th District margin of victory

Texas's 15th District margin of victory

0,9 €
Democrats, 8+ pts: 32%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

If Ken Paxton wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • Senate primary election in Texas by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ken Paxton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ken Paxton if Ken Paxton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ken Paxton loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.