KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualDemocrats, 76+ pts 82%+30.0%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
68 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,9 mil €
Liquidez
8,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
86.0% / 90.9%
Spread
5.7%
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 23 minutos
5/05/26, 20:233/11/27, 15:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Democrats, 76+ pts82%
Tendência de volume
$3.3k23 de jul.3d de dados25 de jul.
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406,4 €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 45%KALSHI
KALSHINew Hampshire Senate margin of victory
264,6 €Democrats, 4+ pts: 67%KALSHI
KALSHIMichigan's 7th District margin of victory
263,7 €Democrats, 10+ pts: 16%KALSHI
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If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 7th District by 55 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.