KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
49° to 50° 40.8%Líder entre 6 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
49° to 50° 40.8%Qualidade do mercado
60 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,1 mil €
Contratos em aberto
924 €
Contratos em aberto: baixoSpread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
4/10/26, 14:00 UTC6/10/26, 06:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 5m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Chicago on Oct 5, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Chicago on October 5?
PolymarketWill the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be below 50 F on October 5, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be below 49 F on October 5, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExRegras
If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 49-50° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Regras de cada resultado
- 49° to 50°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 49-50° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 51° or above
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 5, 2026, is greater than 50° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 47° to 48°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 47-48° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 45° to 46°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 45-46° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 43° to 44°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 43-44° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 42° or below
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 5, 2026, is less than 43° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Lowest temperature in Chicago on October 6? · 39°F or below 50%