KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Nithya Raman, ≥2% 28.6%Líder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
33 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,7 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
9/07/26, 18:00 UTC3/11/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)
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KalshiWill Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman Beat Karen Bass? (n/a if doesn’t advance)
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman win the Los Angeles general election for mayor in 2026?
ForecastExWill Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.
- If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)?
- A Kalshi cota Nithya Raman, ≥2% em 29% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) é resolvido?
- Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.