Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
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Avigdor Lieberman · —
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Preço registado
Avigdor Lieberman 19%Líder entre 10 opções
Avigdor Lieberman 19%Qualidade do mercado
59 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
110,7 €
Contratos em aberto
2,7 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
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Avigdor LiebermanSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
28/08/26, 22:00 UTC28/10/30, 03:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Avigdor Lieberman
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Avigdor Lieberman is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Times of Israel
- Only reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market concerns the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, including a government formed after repeat elections. A new government is formed when the Knesset expresses confidence in it. A retained incumbent counts if appointed in that new government; continuation in the outgoing government does not. Minister of Defense means the holder of the Defense portfolio, including a Prime Minister who also formally holds it. An acting substitute, deputy minister, additional minister within the Defense Ministry, or Minister of National Security does not count. If the portfolio is initially vacant, the first person subsequently appointed to it in that government counts. Nominations, coalition agreements, intended appointments, and hypothetical scenarios do not qualify as taking office. Later replacements do not change the first officeholder.
Regras de cada resultado
- Avigdor Lieberman
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Avigdor Lieberman is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Naftali Bennett
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Israel Katz
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Israel Katz is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gadi Eisenkot
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Gadi Eisenkot is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yair Golan
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Yair Golan is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yoav Gallant
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Yoav Gallant is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ofer Winter
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Ofer Winter is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Itamar Ben-Gvir
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Itamar Ben-Gvir is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Benny Gantz
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Benny Gantz is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Benjamin Netanyahu is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
