KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
S&P 500 Total Return Index 68.3%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
8,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
66.0% / 69.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
19/05/26, 00:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the named outcome performs above Gold for the period of 2026 by 0.001% then the market resolves to Yes.
- Percent return is calculated from the official open price of each asset on January 2, 2026 (the first published trading day of the calendar year) and the official closing price on December 31, 2026.
- For example, if the the named outcome opens at $5,800 on January 2, 2026 and at $6,380 on December 31, 2026, it will be concluded that the annual percentage return of the S&P 500 TR is +10.000%.
- If Gold performs above the named outcome for the period of 2026 by 0.001% then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Equities
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.3pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 104,6 mil
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.8%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9914.9%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9911.2%
+24 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 5,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 79,6 mil
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 185,8 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+4.0pt16.5%
- 30,000 to 30,499.99+1.0pt7.2%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-2.0pt6.2%
+27 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhat will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↓ $182+8.9pt100%
- ↓ $180+26.9pt100%
- ↓ $178+46.0pt100%
+17 mais resultados
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- STRC hits $100 by…
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold??
- A Kalshi cota S&P 500 Total Return Index em 68% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold? é resolvido?
- Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome performs above Gold for the period of 2026 by 0.001% then the market resolves to Yes.