KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 91%
Qualidade do mercado
45 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
94 €
Liquidez
405,4 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
6.0% / 12.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
9/07/26, 18:37 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Trump rename something else?
KalshiWill Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself?
KalshiWill Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz?
KalshiWhat geographic features will Trump rename? [read description]
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegras
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action renaming U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to a name abbreviated NICE (such as National Immigration and Customs Enforcement) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump rename ICE to NICE??
- A Kalshi cota No em 91% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump rename ICE to NICE? é resolvido?
- Will Trump rename ICE to NICE? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Trump rename ICE to NICE? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Donald Trump has taken any executive action renaming U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to a name abbreviated NICE (such as National Immigration and Customs Enforcement) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.