KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem atividade de negociação
Dados de 8 de set. de 2026, 17:20 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
At least 20% 0%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
1/09/26, 21:00 UTC31/12/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Labour Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:London Borough of Camden
- The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
- Write-in votes in the result are included.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 606,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 721 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 411,2 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent?
- A Kalshi cota At least 20% em 0% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent é resolvido?
- Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Labour Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.