KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: At least 25% (98%)
Resolvido: 9 de out. de 2026, 05:08
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 9 de out. de 2026, 05:00 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
At least 30%99%
At least 25%87%
At least 5%0%
At least 10%0%
At least 40%10%
At least 20%99%
At least 30%Perdeu
At least 20%Perdeu
At least 25%Ganhou
At least 15%Perdeu
At least 40%Perdeu
At least 35%Perdeu
At least 5%Perdeu
At least 10%Perdeu
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If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Regras arquivadas no nível do evento. Os termos exatos de cada resultado não estão mais disponíveis.
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:London Borough of Camden
- The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
- Write-in votes in the result are included.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.
