KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 8 de set. de 2026, 16:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Reform UK 5%Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
27 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
172,1 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
1/09/26, 21:00 UTC31/12/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Holborn and St Pancras by-election winner?
KalshiHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
KalshiHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent
KalshiHolborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner
PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras By-Election - Winner
SmarketsHolborn and St Pancras By-Election - Labour to Win
SmarketsRegras
If the named outcome finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:London Borough of Camden
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage
- In case of an exact tie for second place, markets resolve to $1/(number of tied entities), rounded down.
- A write-in candidate achieving the specified rank resolves all named candidate or party markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" market exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- Resolution follows the London Borough of Camden's final certified result, not preliminary election-night results.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 606,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 721 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 411,2 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 2nd place?
- A Kalshi cota Reform UK em 5% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 2nd place é resolvido?
- Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 2nd place deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 2nd place é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.