What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?
33.0% (24h)GeopolíticaOne-Off
KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaEste mercado foi resolvido: Taiwan (99%)
Resolvido: 30 de mai. de 2026, 15:45
Resultado Vencedor
Taiwan
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
—
Probabilidade implícita atualCeasefire 1%-33.0%Líder entre 17 opções
Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,6 mil €
Liquidez
1,4 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
- / 100.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 dias
Desatualizado28/05/26, 2:0030/05/26, 5:05
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Ceasefire1%
Drone1%
Taiwan99%
Oil1%
Ukraine1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
America First99%
Russia / Russian1%
Venezuela99%
Nuclear99%
Terrorist / Terrorism99%
Lethal99%
NATO99%
Trump (3+ times)99%
National Security99%
Event does not qualify1%
China / Chinese99%
1%
1%
99%
1%
1%
99%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
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If a qualifying event does not occur, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.