Larger margin: Graham or Donalds?
7.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 2026Eleição1m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Byron Donalds · —
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Preço registado
Byron Donalds 49%
Byron Donalds 49%Qualidade do mercado
44 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
180,9 €
Contratos em aberto
2,5 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
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Byron DonaldsSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 26 minutos
23/10/26, 23:50 UTC7/12/26, 14:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Byron Donalds
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
If Byron Donalds's margin in the Florida gubernatorial election minus Darline Graham's margin in the South Carolina U.S. Senate election is above 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:State Election Commission, Columbia, SCDivision of Elections, Office of the Secretary of State, Tallahassee, FL
- Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places. A difference of exactly 0.00 resolves Graham Yes.
Regras de cada resultado
- Byron Donalds
- If Byron Donalds's margin in the Florida gubernatorial election minus Darline Graham's margin in the South Carolina U.S. Senate election is above 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Darline Graham
- If Darline Graham's margin in the South Carolina U.S. Senate election minus Byron Donalds's margin in the Florida gubernatorial election is at least 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
