KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualVolatility 18%+3.0%Líder entre 43 opções
Qualidade do mercado
89 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
31,3 mil €
Liquidez
92,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
6.3%
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 24 minutos
7/07/26, 22:3030/07/26, 14:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Volatility18%
Comparar plataformas· Balance Sheet
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 83% | 0pt | 31,3 mil € | 92,5 mil € | há 24 minutos | |
 Polymarket88% de correspondência · auto | Alta | 85% | +2pt | 8,6 mil € | 135,2 mil € | há 4 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
2.0%3d
+0.5%85%
82%
78%
+30 mais resultados
89 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidez
Volume total55,6 mil €
Volume 24h8,6 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Event does not qualify at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used.
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Please see full rules for more details.
- If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$35.6k8 de jul.19d de dados26 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
358,3 mil €Fed maintains rate: 78%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
51,2 mil €Sim: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
48 mil €0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
30,6 mil €Exactly 4 cuts: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
26,1 mil €Above 4.00%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ecusfed 26 SEP
22,8 mil €H 0: 42%ROTHERA
ROTHERAAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
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Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRegras
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Event does not qualify at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used.
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Please see full rules for more details.
- If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.